Trading

Prediction markets

Buy Yes or No shares on real-world events. A share pays $1 if you are right.

How a prediction market works

Every market is a question with outcomes, such as Yes and No. A share’s price, from 1¢ to 99¢, is roughly the market’s view of the chance it happens. If your outcome wins, each share settles at $1; if not, at $0. You can also sell before the market resolves.

There are 4,542 live events right now across politics, sports, economy, other, tech, crypto and culture.

Place a trade

  1. Find an event

    Browse Prediction markets by category or search.

  2. Pick an outcome

    Choose Yes or No (or one outcome of a multi-outcome event). The ticket shows the price per share.

  3. Enter the amount

    Enter dollars to spend. The ticket shows the shares you get, the fee and what you win if you are right.

Limits

RuleValue
Entry price5¢ to 95¢ per share
Market volume needed$50,000 or more
Order book depth needed (your side)$5,000 or more
One fill as a share of the book at that price3%
One event, across its linked markets20% of the account
Minimum hold before selling1 minute
Resting limit ordersUp to 10, within 25% of the best price, expire after 24 hours
Open prediction positions20
Trading fee (buys and sells)0.1%

Max position by entry price

Entry priceMax position (share of the account)
35¢ to 65¢25%
20¢ to 35¢ or 65¢ to 80¢15%
10¢ to 20¢ or 80¢ to 90¢7.5%
5¢ to 10¢ or 90¢ to 95¢3%

Settlement

  • Positions settle automatically when the market resolves. There is no fee on settlement.
  • A voided market is unwound at your entry price with no profit or loss.
  • Crypto Up/Down rounds shorter than 15 minutes are not listed.

Live values · rules last changed 26 October 2026